Date of Award

5-2018

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science (MS)

College/School

College of Science and Mathematics

Department/Program

Mathematical Sciences

Thesis Sponsor/Dissertation Chair/Project Chair

Andrew J. McDougall

Committee Member

Andrada Ivanescu

Committee Member

Gregory Pope

Subject(s)

Precipitation (Meteorology)--New Jersey--Analysis, Precipitation (Meteorology)--United States--Analysis, Time-series analysis

Abstract

Global warming is a contentious topic since modern climate records only exist for the last 100 years in contrast to ice-core analysis that establishes ice ages tens of thousands of years ago. Nevertheless, patterns associated with events such as El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), precipitation, tornadoes, and snowfall amounts over the last century can provide a useful and objective indicator of climate “change”. This project focuses on daily precipitation totals for the state of New Jersey over the last 100 to 150 years from nineteen meteorological recording stations and involves large data sets with a million observations. This research utilizes time series analysis to present results and findings with a temporal emphasis. The project includes an extension to select states across the United States for a comparison of precipitation patterns.

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