Do Markets Overreact: International Evidence

Authors

Ahmet Baytas, Montclair State UniversityFollow
Nusret Cakici, The City College and the Graduate Center of CUNY

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

1-1-1999

Journal / Book Title

Journal of Banking & Finance

Abstract

In this paper, using the Conrad and Kaul's methodology we test for the overreaction hypothesis - which maintains that stock prices systematically overshoot and therefore their reversal can be predicted from past performance - in seven industrialized countries. Consistent with the findings of Conrad and Kaul, we see no evidence of overreaction in the US. However, returns to long-term contrarian strategies in other countries seem to be generally significant. Moreover, we find that in the majority of the countries, while returns to arbitrage portfolios based on price are higher than those based on size, the latter generally outperform the winner-loser arbitrage portfolios.

DOI

10.1016/S0378-4266(98)00133-2

MSU Digital Commons Citation

Baytas, Ahmet and Cakici, Nusret, "Do Markets Overreact: International Evidence" (1999). Department of Economics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works. 17.
https://digitalcommons.montclair.edu/economics-facpubs/17

Published Citation

Baytas, A., & Cakici, N. (1999). Do markets overreact: International evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 23(7), 1121-1144.